Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.
from the morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.
Cloud-free timing: Cloudy early, clearing later.
A mixed day on Bannerdale Crags: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 30-40 mph early in the morning (strong winds). A meaningful thunderstorm risk is indicated from the morning into the evening. Avoid committing to exposed ridges if storms begin to build. Much calmer lower down - generally 0-10 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Any cloud sits well above the tops (base 700-1500 m) - clear summits. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on eastern slopes; the western side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 5-10 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (forecast models agree on the walking impact of the wind) - the summit peak could reasonably be 23-28 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.


