Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.
from late afternoon into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.
Cloud-free timing: Best around midday at about 100%; around 0% early and 0% later.
A mixed day on Baugh Fell - Tarn Rigg Hill: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 20-30 mph during the morning (fresh and blowy). Thunderstorms are possible from late afternoon into the evening. Keep an escape route from exposed ridges and descend if thunder develops. Much calmer lower down - generally 0-10 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 500–800 m in the morning, then around 900–1200 m around midday and 500–800 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view from the morning into the afternoon. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain.


