Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.
from late afternoon into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.
Cloud-free timing: Around 67% early, improving to around 100% later.
A mixed day on Blake Fell: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph during the morning (strong winds). A meaningful thunderstorm risk is indicated from late afternoon into the evening. Avoid committing to exposed ridges if storms begin to build. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Any cloud sits well above the tops (base 900-1500 m) - clear summits. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain.


