Blake Fell weather forecast.

573 m summit in Lake District. Seven-day wind, cloud, rain and temperature forecast, updated 27 August 2026 at 04:40 UTC.

At a glance

Today on Blake Fell.

Blake Fell on Thursday 27 August 2026: summit wind around 23 mph E, gusting 32 mph; modelled cloud-free summit for 93% of daylight; feels like 15°C; 2.9 mm rain.

Medium confidenceHow the forecast works

Seven-day Blake Fell forecast.

Conditions can change quickly with height. Use the day-by-day summit detail below, then check again close to departure.

Medium confidence
Wind23 mph E Gusts32 mph Feels15°C Rain2.9 mm Cloud-free summit93% Cloud base960 m Freezing level3,170 m Daylight06:10–20:18 · 14.1 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: moderate

from late afternoon into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Cloud-free timing: Around 67% early, improving to around 100% later.

A mixed day on Blake Fell: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph during the morning (strong winds). A meaningful thunderstorm risk is indicated from late afternoon into the evening. Avoid committing to exposed ridges if storms begin to build. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Any cloud sits well above the tops (base 900-1500 m) - clear summits. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain.

Medium confidence
Wind25 mph W Gusts34 mph Feels11°C Rain3.3 mm Cloud-free summit0% Cloud base432 m Freezing level2,890 m Daylight06:12–20:15 · 14.1 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: moderate

from early morning into around midday. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

A grey, cloudy day on Blake Fell: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 30-40 mph around midday (strong winds). A meaningful thunderstorm risk is indicated from early morning into around midday. Avoid committing to exposed ridges if storms begin to build. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base mostly around 400–700 m through daylight. Expect the top to stay in cloud for most or all of daylight, with no dependable break. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (forecast models agree on the walking impact of the wind) - the summit peak could reasonably be 20-29 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Medium confidence
Wind16 mph SW Gusts22 mph Feels10°C Rain3.3 mm Cloud-free summit0% Cloud base461 m Freezing level2,770 m Daylight06:14–20:13 · 14.0 h

Forecast confidence: Rain is possible, but forecast models differ by about 9 hours on when it arrives.

A grey, cloudy day on Blake Fell: summit wind broadly 10-20 mph, with gusts 15-25 mph during the afternoon (fresh and blowy). Cloud base mostly around 400–700 m through daylight. Expect the top to stay in cloud for most or all of daylight, with no dependable break. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on southwestern slopes; the northeastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain.

Medium confidence
Wind23 mph S Gusts32 mph Feels11°C Rain3.1 mm Cloud-free summit50% Cloud base570 m Freezing level2,660 m Daylight06:16–20:11 · 13.9 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: high

from early morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Cloud-free timing: Around 0% early, improving to around 60% later.

A mixed day on Blake Fell: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph during the evening (strong winds). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from early morning into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. Cloud base around 400–700 m in the morning, lifting to 600–900 m around midday and 900–1200 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view from midday into the afternoon. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on southern slopes; the northern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (forecast models agree on the walking impact of the wind) - the summit peak could reasonably be 18-30 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Low confidence
Wind48 mph W Gusts68 mph Feels4°C Rain11.5 mm Cloud-free summit64% Cloud base884 m Freezing level1,814 m Daylight06:18–20:08 · 13.8 h

Forecast confidence: Summit wind could be roughly 37-56 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel.

Spate watch

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

Cloud-free timing: Cloudy early, clearing later.

A wild day on Blake Fell: summit wind broadly 35-55 mph, with gusts 65-75 mph during the afternoon (storm-force winds). There could be a spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Most likely from around 00:00 until around 23:00. Much calmer lower down - generally 15-25 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 400–700 m in the morning, lifting to 800–1100 m around midday and 1300–1600 m by late afternoon. Summit cloud should lift later, bringing a better chance of clear views. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 10-20 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably. Low confidence (Summit wind could be roughly 37-56 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could be anywhere from 37 to 56 mph; check again nearer the time.

Medium confidence
Wind45 mph W Gusts62 mph Feels1°C Rain12.7 mm Cloud-free summit29% Cloud base530 m Freezing level1,707 m Daylight06:19–20:06 · 13.8 h

Forecast confidence: Summit wind could be roughly 38-55 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel.

Spate watch

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

Cloud-free timing: Clear early, clouding up later.

A rough, clagged-in day on Blake Fell: summit wind broadly 30-50 mph, with gusts 55-65 mph around midday (storm-force winds). The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. There could be a spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Most likely from around 08:00 until around 03:00 the following day. Much calmer lower down - generally 10-20 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 900-1200 m in the morning, lowering to 500-800 m around midday. The summit should be clear early, with cloud building around midday. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 10-20 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably. Cold on top: air temperature broadly 6 to 10°C, feeling around 0 to 4°C in the wind - wrap up. Confidence moderate (Summit wind could be roughly 38-55 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could reasonably be 38-55 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Forecast run: 2026-08-27

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Mountain weather can differ sharply from conditions in the valley. Check official warnings, carry appropriate navigation and clothing, and be ready to change the plan. Read how Mountain Weather forecasts are produced and where their limits lie.