Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.
from late afternoon into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.
Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.
Cloud-free timing: Around 100% early, falling to around 20% later.
A wild day on Gallt yr Ogof: summit wind broadly 15-40 mph, with gusts 45-55 mph around midday (gale-force winds). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from late afternoon into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. High spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may become difficult or impassable. Most likely from around 11:00 until around 19:00. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 1100–1400 m in the morning, then around 3000–3300 m around midday and 400–700 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view from early morning into the afternoon. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 10-20 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably.


