Great Carrs weather forecast.

785 m summit in Lake District. Seven-day wind, cloud, rain and temperature forecast, updated 27 August 2026 at 04:40 UTC.

At a glance

Today on Great Carrs.

Great Carrs on Thursday 27 August 2026: summit wind around 30 mph E, gusting 42 mph; modelled cloud-free summit for 71% of daylight; feels like 13°C; 3.0 mm rain.

Medium confidenceHow the forecast works

Seven-day Great Carrs forecast.

Conditions can change quickly with height. Use the day-by-day summit detail below, then check again close to departure.

Medium confidence
Wind30 mph E Gusts42 mph Feels13°C Rain3.0 mm Cloud-free summit71% Cloud base847 m Freezing level3,090 m Daylight06:10–20:16 · 14.1 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: moderate

from late afternoon into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Cloud-free timing: Around 100% early, falling to around 20% later.

A mixed day on Great Carrs: summit wind broadly 20-35 mph, with gusts 35-45 mph during the morning (gale-force winds). A meaningful thunderstorm risk is indicated from late afternoon into the evening. Avoid committing to exposed ridges if storms begin to build. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 0–300 m in the morning, then around 900–1200 m around midday and 500–800 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud; views may come and go. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain.

Medium confidence
Wind28 mph W Gusts39 mph Feels9°C Rain5.7 mm Cloud-free summit0% Cloud base428 m Freezing level2,860 m Daylight06:11–20:14 · 14.1 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: moderate

from early morning into around midday. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

A grey, cloudy day on Great Carrs: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 35-45 mph during the evening (strong winds). A meaningful thunderstorm risk is indicated from early morning into around midday. Avoid committing to exposed ridges if storms begin to build. The ground is likely to be saturated after recent rain. Expect boggy paths and rapid runoff if more rain arrives. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base mostly around 400–700 m through daylight. Expect the top to stay in cloud for most or all of daylight, with no dependable break. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 5-10 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (forecast models agree on the walking impact of the wind) - the summit peak could reasonably be 21-33 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Medium confidence
Wind16 mph SW Gusts21 mph Feels7°C Rain3.6 mm Cloud-free summit0% Cloud base463 m Freezing level2,858 m Daylight06:13–20:12 · 14.0 h

Forecast confidence: Rain is possible, but forecast models differ by about 9 hours on when it arrives.

A grey, cloudy day on Great Carrs: summit wind broadly 10-20 mph, with gusts 15-25 mph around midday (fresh and blowy). The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. Cloud base mostly around 400–700 m through daylight. Expect the top to stay in cloud for most or all of daylight, with no dependable break. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on southwestern slopes; the northeastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain.

Medium confidence
Wind22 mph SW Gusts30 mph Feels8°C Rain5.4 mm Cloud-free summit21% Cloud base470 m Freezing level2,633 m Daylight06:15–20:09 · 13.9 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: high

from early morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Spate watch

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

Cloud-free timing: Around 0% early, improving to around 20% later.

A grey, cloudy day on Great Carrs: summit wind broadly 15-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph during the evening (strong winds). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from early morning into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. There could be a spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Most likely from around 05:00 until around 03:00 the following day. Cloud base around 400–700 m in the morning, then around 900–1200 m around midday and 600–900 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view from midday into the afternoon. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on southwestern slopes; the northeastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 5-10 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (Summit wind could be roughly 16-35 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could reasonably be 16-35 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Low confidence
Wind50 mph W Gusts70 mph Feels2°C Rain13.7 mm Cloud-free summit50% Cloud base662 m Freezing level1,815 m Daylight06:17–20:07 · 13.8 h

Forecast confidence: A low thunderstorm risk remains difficult to time precisely.

Thunder risk: low

from the morning into the afternoon. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Spate watch

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

Cloud-free timing: Around 0% early, improving to around 100% later.

A wild day on Great Carrs: summit wind broadly 40-55 mph, with gusts 65-75 mph during the afternoon (storm-force winds). Thunderstorms are possible from the morning into the afternoon. Keep an escape route from exposed ridges and descend if thunder develops. There could be a spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Most likely from around 00:00 until around 23:00. Much calmer lower down - generally 15-25 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 400–700 m in the morning, lifting to 600–900 m around midday and 800–1100 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view from late afternoon into the evening. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 10-20 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably. Cold on top: air temperature broadly 6 to 10°C, feeling around 0 to 4°C in the wind - wrap up. Low confidence (Summit wind could be roughly 35-63 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could be anywhere from 35 to 63 mph; check again nearer the time.

Low confidence
Wind45 mph W Gusts63 mph Feels-1°C Rain11.2 mm Cloud-free summit21% Cloud base549 m Freezing level1,766 m Daylight06:19–20:04 · 13.8 h

Forecast confidence: Summit wind could be roughly 35-56 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel.

Spate watch

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

Cloud-free timing: Clear early, clouding up later.

A rough, clagged-in day on Great Carrs: summit wind broadly 35-50 mph, with gusts 60-70 mph around midday (storm-force winds). The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. There could be a spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Most likely from around 08:00 until around 03:00 the following day. Much calmer lower down - generally 15-25 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 1400–1700 m in the morning, lowering to 700–1000 m around midday and 500–800 m by late afternoon. The summit should be clear early, with cloud building around midday. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 10-20 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably. Cold on top: air temperature broadly 4 to 8°C, feeling around -2 to 2°C in the wind - wrap up. Low confidence (Summit wind could be roughly 35-56 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could be anywhere from 35 to 56 mph; check again nearer the time.

Forecast run: 2026-08-27

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Mountain weather can differ sharply from conditions in the valley. Check official warnings, carry appropriate navigation and clothing, and be ready to change the plan. Read how Mountain Weather forecasts are produced and where their limits lie.