Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.
from late afternoon into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.
Cloud-free timing: Around 100% early, falling to around 20% later.
A mixed day on Kirk Fell: summit wind broadly 20-35 mph, with gusts 35-45 mph around midday (gale-force winds). A meaningful thunderstorm risk is indicated from late afternoon into the evening. Avoid committing to exposed ridges if storms begin to build. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 0–300 m in the morning, then around 900–1200 m around midday and 500–800 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud; views may come and go. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain.


