Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.
from around midday into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.
Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.
Cloud-free timing: Around 33% early, improving to around 60% later.
A wild day on Lose Hill: summit wind broadly 5-20 mph, with gusts 20-30 mph around midday (fresh and blowy). A meaningful thunderstorm risk is indicated from around midday into the evening. Avoid committing to exposed ridges if storms begin to build. Severe spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may become unsafe or impassable. Most likely from around 12:00 until around 23:00. Cloud base around 200–500 m through the morning, lifting to 400–700 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view during the morning. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 20-40 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably.


