Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.
from around midday into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.
Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.
A rough, clagged-in day on Moel Llyfnant: summit wind broadly 10-30 mph, with gusts 30-40 mph during the morning (strong winds). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from around midday into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. Severe spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may become unsafe or impassable. Most likely from around 10:00 until around 22:00. Much calmer lower down - generally 0-10 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base mostly around 500–800 m through daylight. Expect the top to stay in cloud for most or all of daylight, with no dependable break. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on eastern slopes; the western side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 10-20 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably.


