Moel Llyfnant weather forecast.

751 m summit in Clwydian Range and Berwyns. Seven-day wind, cloud, rain and temperature forecast, updated 27 August 2026 at 04:40 UTC.

At a glance

Today on Moel Llyfnant.

Moel Llyfnant on Thursday 27 August 2026: summit wind around 27 mph E, gusting 37 mph; modelled cloud-free summit for 0% of daylight; feels like 12°C; 17.4 mm rain.

Medium confidenceHow the forecast works

Seven-day Moel Llyfnant forecast.

Conditions can change quickly with height. Use the day-by-day summit detail below, then check again close to departure.

Medium confidence
Wind27 mph E Gusts37 mph Feels12°C Rain17.4 mm Cloud-free summit0% Cloud base494 m Freezing level3,090 m Daylight06:16–20:16 · 14.0 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: high

from around midday into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Severe spate risk

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

A rough, clagged-in day on Moel Llyfnant: summit wind broadly 10-30 mph, with gusts 30-40 mph during the morning (strong winds). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from around midday into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. Severe spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may become unsafe or impassable. Most likely from around 10:00 until around 22:00. Much calmer lower down - generally 0-10 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base mostly around 500–800 m through daylight. Expect the top to stay in cloud for most or all of daylight, with no dependable break. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on eastern slopes; the western side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 10-20 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably.

Medium confidence
Wind26 mph W Gusts36 mph Feels10°C Rain3.4 mm Cloud-free summit7% Cloud base459 m Freezing level2,860 m Daylight06:17–20:13 · 13.9 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: high

from early morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Cloud-free timing: Around 0% early, improving to around 20% later.

A grey, cloudy day on Moel Llyfnant: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 30-40 mph during the evening (strong winds). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from early morning into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. The ground is likely to be saturated after recent rain. Expect boggy paths and rapid runoff if more rain arrives. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 400–700 m in the morning, then around 600–900 m around midday and 400–700 m by late afternoon. Expect clag for much of the day, though a brief clearance is possible during the evening. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (forecast models agree on the walking impact of the wind) - the summit peak could reasonably be 21-31 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Medium confidence
Wind27 mph SW Gusts38 mph Feels7°C Rain3.4 mm Cloud-free summit0% Cloud base467 m Freezing level2,930 m Daylight06:19–20:11 · 13.9 h

Forecast confidence: Rain is possible, but forecast models differ by about 5 hours on when it arrives.

A grey, cloudy day on Moel Llyfnant: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 35-45 mph during the evening (strong winds). The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base mostly around 400–700 m through daylight. Expect the top to stay in cloud for most or all of daylight, with no dependable break. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on southwestern slopes; the northeastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (Summit wind could be roughly 22-42 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could reasonably be 22-42 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Medium confidence
Wind32 mph SW Gusts45 mph Feels8°C Rain3.5 mm Cloud-free summit64% Cloud base894 m Freezing level2,739 m Daylight06:21–20:09 · 13.8 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: high

from early morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Cloud-free timing: Cloudy early, clearing later.

A mixed day on Moel Llyfnant: summit wind broadly 20-35 mph, with gusts 40-50 mph during the evening (gale-force winds). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from early morning into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 400–700 m in the morning, then around 1400–1700 m around midday and 800–1100 m by late afternoon. Summit cloud should lift later, bringing a better chance of clear views. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on southwestern slopes; the northeastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (Summit wind could be roughly 21-36 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could reasonably be 21-36 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Low confidence
Wind46 mph W Gusts64 mph Feels1°C Rain2.0 mm Cloud-free summit57% Cloud base937 m Freezing level1,946 m Daylight06:22–20:07 · 13.7 h

Forecast confidence: Summit wind could be roughly 40-61 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel.

Cloud-free timing: Around 0% early, improving to around 100% later.

A wild day on Moel Llyfnant: summit wind broadly 35-50 mph, with gusts 60-70 mph during the afternoon (storm-force winds). Much calmer lower down - generally 15-25 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 600–900 m in the morning, lifting to 900–1200 m around midday and 1600–1900 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view from around midday into the evening. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Cold on top: air temperature broadly 6 to 10°C, feeling around 0 to 4°C in the wind - wrap up. Low confidence (Summit wind could be roughly 40-61 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could be anywhere from 40 to 61 mph; check again nearer the time. Cloud base is the least certain part of this - the models are only moderately agreed, so it could sit a couple of hundred metres either way.

Medium confidence
Wind29 mph W Gusts41 mph Feels3°C Rain1.2 mm Cloud-free summit86% Cloud base1,468 m Freezing level1,752 m Daylight06:24–20:04 · 13.7 h

Forecast confidence: Forecast models disagree on whether meaningful rain reaches the hills during 10:00-16:00.

Cloud-free timing: Cloudy early, clearing later.

A mixed day on Moel Llyfnant: summit wind broadly 20-35 mph, with gusts 35-45 mph early in the morning (gale-force winds). Much calmer lower down - generally 10-20 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Any cloud sits well above the tops (base 1000-1700 m) - clear summits. Some rain is likely, with up to around 2 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (Summit wind could be roughly 23-35 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could reasonably be 23-35 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range. Cloud base is the least certain part of this - the models are only moderately agreed, so it could sit a couple of hundred metres either way.

Forecast run: 2026-08-27

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