Moel Penamnen weather forecast.

628 m summit forecast for wind, cloud, rain and temperature. Updated 25 August 2026 at 15:32 UTC.

At a glance

Today on Moel Penamnen.

Moel Penamnen on Tuesday 25 August 2026: summit wind around 24 mph E, gusting 34 mph; modelled cloud-free summit for 71% of daylight; feels like 7°C; 0.1 mm rain.

High confidenceHow the forecast works

Seven-day Moel Penamnen forecast.

Conditions can change quickly with height. Use the day-by-day summit detail below, then check again close to departure.

High confidence
Wind24 mph E Gusts34 mph Feels7°C Rain0.1 mm Cloud-free summit71% Cloud base1,674 m Freezing level3,210 m Daylight06:12–20:21 · 14.2 h

Cloud-free timing: Cloudy early, clearing later.

A mixed day on Moel Penamnen: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 30-40 mph during the morning (strong winds). Cloud base around 500–800 m in the morning, lifting to 1600–1900 m around midday and 2000–2300 m by late afternoon. Summit cloud should lift later, bringing a better chance of clear views. Little or no rain expected. Confidence moderate (forecast models agree on the walking impact of the wind) - the summit peak could reasonably be 23-26 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Medium confidence
Wind17 mph SE Gusts23 mph Feels13°C Rain5.9 mm Cloud-free summit57% Cloud base542 m Freezing level3,130 m Daylight06:14–20:19 · 14.1 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: high

from the morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Cloud-free timing: Around 33% early, improving to around 100% later.

A mixed day on Moel Penamnen: summit wind broadly 5-20 mph, with gusts 20-30 mph early in the morning (fresh and blowy). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from the morning into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. Cloud base around 500–800 m through the morning, lifting to 1400–1700 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view from late afternoon into the evening. Some rain is likely, with around 5-10 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain.

Medium confidence
Wind18 mph E Gusts25 mph Feels14°C Rain21.7 mm Cloud-free summit0% Cloud base501 m Freezing level3,050 m Daylight06:16–20:17 · 14.0 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: high

from the morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

High spate risk

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

A rough, clagged-in day on Moel Penamnen: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 20-30 mph early in the morning (fresh and blowy). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from the morning into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. High spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may become difficult or impassable. Most likely from around 08:00 until around 04:00 the following day. Cloud base mostly around 500–800 m through daylight. Expect the top to stay in cloud for most or all of daylight, with no dependable break. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 20-40 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably.

Medium confidence
Wind16 mph W Gusts23 mph Feels12°C Rain7.1 mm Cloud-free summit36% Cloud base474 m Freezing level2,938 m Daylight06:18–20:14 · 13.9 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: moderate

from early morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Spate watch

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

Cloud-free timing: Around 0% early, improving to around 80% later.

A grey, cloudy day on Moel Penamnen: summit wind broadly 10-20 mph, with gusts 20-30 mph during the afternoon (fresh and blowy). A meaningful thunderstorm risk is indicated from early morning into the evening. Avoid committing to exposed ridges if storms begin to build. The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. There could be a spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Most likely from around 00:00 until around 17:00. Cloud base around 400–700 m through the morning, lifting to 700–1000 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view from late afternoon into the evening. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 5-10 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain.

Medium confidence
Wind15 mph SW Gusts21 mph Feels10°C Rain11.8 mm Cloud-free summit0% Cloud base448 m Freezing level2,888 m Daylight06:19–20:12 · 13.9 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: moderate

from around midday into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Spate watch

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

A rough, clagged-in day on Moel Penamnen: summit wind broadly 5-20 mph, with gusts 15-25 mph during the morning (fresh and blowy). A meaningful thunderstorm risk is indicated from around midday into the evening. Avoid committing to exposed ridges if storms begin to build. The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. There could be a spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Most likely from around 08:00 until around 23:00. Cloud base mostly around 400–700 m through daylight. Expect the top to stay in cloud for most or all of daylight, with no dependable break. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on southwestern slopes; the northeastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 10-20 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably.

Medium confidence
Wind26 mph SW Gusts36 mph Feels9°C Rain8.0 mm Cloud-free summit21% Cloud base477 m Freezing level2,741 m Daylight06:21–20:10 · 13.8 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: high

from early morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Spate watch

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

Cloud-free timing: Best around midday at about 50%; around 0% early and 0% later.

A rough, clagged-in day on Moel Penamnen: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 30-40 mph during the evening (strong winds). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from early morning into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. There could be a spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Most likely from around 11:00 until around 03:00 the following day. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 400–700 m in the morning, then around 600–900 m around midday and 400–700 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view from midday into the afternoon. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on southwestern slopes; the northeastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 5-10 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably. Confidence moderate (Summit wind could be roughly 18-36 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could reasonably be 18-36 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Medium confidence
Wind25 mph W Gusts34 mph Feels7°C Rain2.4 mm Cloud-free summit79% Cloud base718 m Freezing level2,236 m Daylight06:23–20:07 · 13.8 h

Forecast confidence: A low thunderstorm risk remains difficult to time precisely.

Thunder risk: low

from early morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Cloud-free timing: Cloudy early, clearing later.

A mixed day on Moel Penamnen: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 30-40 mph around midday (strong winds). Thunderstorms are possible from early morning into the evening. Keep an escape route from exposed ridges and descend if thunder develops. The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (Summit wind could be roughly 20-33 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could reasonably be 20-33 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Forecast run: 2026-08-25

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