Moel yr Henfaes weather forecast.

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

A rough, clagged-in day on Moel yr Henfaes: summit wind broadly 10-30 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph around midday (strong winds). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from around midday into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. Severe spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may become unsafe or impassable. Most likely from around 10:00 until around 06:00 the following day. Much calmer lower down - generally 0-10 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 500–800 m in the morning, then around 200–500 m around midday and 400–700 m by late afternoon. Expect the top to stay in cloud for most or all of daylight, with no dependable break. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 20-40 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably.

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Cloud-free timing: Around 33% early, improving to around 60% later.

A mixed day on Moel yr Henfaes: summit wind broadly 10-30 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph during the evening (strong winds). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from the morning into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. The ground is likely to be saturated after recent rain. Expect boggy paths and rapid runoff if more rain arrives. There could be a spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Most likely from around 13:00 until around 20:00. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 300–600 m in the morning, then around 900–1200 m around midday and 400–700 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view from the morning into the afternoon. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 5-10 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (forecast models agree on the walking impact of the wind) - the summit peak could reasonably be 19-26 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Forecast confidence: A low thunderstorm risk remains difficult to time precisely.

Cloud-free timing: Around 33% early, falling to around 0% later.

A grey, cloudy day on Moel yr Henfaes: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 30-40 mph during the evening (strong winds). Thunderstorms are possible from around midday into the evening. Keep an escape route from exposed ridges and descend if thunder develops. The ground is likely to be saturated after recent rain. Expect boggy paths and rapid runoff if more rain arrives. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base mostly around 400–700 m through daylight. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view during the morning. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on southwestern slopes; the northeastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (Summit wind could be roughly 19-44 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could reasonably be 19-44 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Cloud-free timing: Cloudy early, clearing later.

A mixed day on Moel yr Henfaes: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 30-40 mph during the evening (strong winds). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from the morning into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. The ground is likely to be saturated after recent rain. Expect boggy paths and rapid runoff if more rain arrives. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on southwestern slopes; the northeastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Little or no rain expected. Confidence moderate (forecast models agree on the walking impact of the wind) - the summit peak could reasonably be 16-26 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Forecast confidence: A low thunderstorm risk remains difficult to time precisely.

Cloud-free timing: Around 67% early, improving to around 100% later.

A wild day on Moel yr Henfaes: summit wind broadly 30-45 mph, with gusts 50-60 mph during the afternoon (gale-force winds). Thunderstorms are possible from the morning into the afternoon. Keep an escape route from exposed ridges and descend if thunder develops. Much calmer lower down - generally 15-25 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Any cloud sits well above the tops (base 800-1600 m) - clear summits. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with up to around 2 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (Summit wind could be roughly 34-49 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could reasonably be 34-49 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range. Cloud base is the least certain part of this - the models are only moderately agreed, so it could sit a couple of hundred metres either way.

Forecast confidence: Forecast models disagree on whether meaningful rain reaches the hills during 10:00-16:00.

Cloud-free timing: Cloudy early, clearing later.

A mixed day on Moel yr Henfaes: summit wind broadly 20-30 mph, with gusts 35-45 mph early in the morning (strong winds). Much calmer lower down - generally 10-20 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Any cloud sits well above the tops (base 900-2000 m) - clear summits. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Little or no rain expected. Bright spells with UV up to 5 - sunscreen on exposed skin. Confidence moderate (forecast models agree on the walking impact of the wind) - the summit peak could reasonably be 21-33 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range. Cloud base is the least certain part of this - the models are only moderately agreed, so it could sit a couple of hundred metres either way.