Tal y Fan weather forecast.

610 m summit forecast for wind, cloud, rain and temperature. Updated 26 August 2026 at 04:40 UTC.

At a glance

Today on Tal y Fan.

Tal y Fan on Wednesday 26 August 2026: summit wind around 17 mph SE, gusting 23 mph; modelled cloud-free summit for 86% of daylight; feels like 13°C; 11.5 mm rain.

Medium confidenceHow the forecast works

Seven-day Tal y Fan forecast.

Conditions can change quickly with height. Use the day-by-day summit detail below, then check again close to departure.

Medium confidence
Wind17 mph SE Gusts23 mph Feels13°C Rain11.5 mm Cloud-free summit86% Cloud base1,481 m Freezing level3,090 m Daylight06:14–20:19 · 14.1 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: likely

from the morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Spate watch

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

Cloud-free timing: Around 100% early, falling to around 60% later.

A wild day on Tal y Fan: summit wind broadly 5-20 mph, with gusts 20-30 mph around midday (fresh and blowy). Thunderstorms are forecast from the morning into the evening. Avoid exposed summits and ridges during the risk period. There could be a spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Most likely from around 08:00 until around 22:00. Any cloud sits well above the tops (base 1000-2000 m) - clear summits. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on southeastern slopes; the northwestern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 10-20 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably.

Medium confidence
Wind15 mph E Gusts21 mph Feels13°C Rain12.8 mm Cloud-free summit43% Cloud base563 m Freezing level2,980 m Daylight06:15–20:17 · 14.0 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: moderate

from early morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Spate watch

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

Cloud-free timing: Around 100% early, falling to around 0% later.

A wild day on Tal y Fan: summit wind broadly 5-20 mph, with gusts 15-25 mph during the morning (fresh and blowy). A meaningful thunderstorm risk is indicated from early morning into the evening. Avoid committing to exposed ridges if storms begin to build. There could be a spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Most likely from around 09:00 until around 03:00 the following day. Cloud base around 1100–1400 m in the morning, lowering to 700–1000 m around midday and 500–800 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view from early morning into around midday. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 10-20 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably.

Medium confidence
Wind16 mph NW Gusts23 mph Feels12°C Rain10.8 mm Cloud-free summit14% Cloud base477 m Freezing level2,941 m Daylight06:17–20:15 · 14.0 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: moderate

from the morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

High spate risk

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

Cloud-free timing: Around 0% early, improving to around 40% later.

A rough, clagged-in day on Tal y Fan: summit wind broadly 10-20 mph, with gusts 20-30 mph during the afternoon (fresh and blowy). A meaningful thunderstorm risk is indicated from the morning into the evening. Avoid committing to exposed ridges if storms begin to build. The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. High spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may become difficult or impassable. Most likely from around 00:00 until around 21:00. Cloud base mostly around 500–800 m through daylight. Expect clag for much of the day, though a brief clearance is possible during the evening. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on northwestern slopes; the southeastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 10-20 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably.

Medium confidence
Wind11 mph NE Gusts16 mph Feels10°C Rain10.7 mm Cloud-free summit14% Cloud base451 m Freezing level2,870 m Daylight06:19–20:12 · 13.9 h

Forecast confidence: A low thunderstorm risk remains difficult to time precisely.

Thunder risk: low

from around midday into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Spate watch

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

Cloud-free timing: Best around midday at about 50%; around 0% early and 0% later.

A rough, clagged-in day on Tal y Fan: summit wind broadly 5-15 mph, with gusts 10-20 mph during the afternoon (a moderate breeze). Thunderstorms are possible from around midday into the evening. Keep an escape route from exposed ridges and descend if thunder develops. The ground is likely to be saturated after recent rain. Expect boggy paths and rapid runoff if more rain arrives. There could be a spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Most likely from around 08:00 until around 02:00 the following day. Cloud base around 400–700 m in the morning, then around 600–900 m around midday and 400–700 m by late afternoon. Expect clag for much of the day, though a brief clearance is possible around midday. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 10-20 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably.

Medium confidence
Wind21 mph S Gusts30 mph Feels8°C Rain1.2 mm Cloud-free summit79% Cloud base678 m Freezing level2,666 m Daylight06:21–20:10 · 13.8 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: high

from early morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Cloud-free timing: Around 100% early, falling to around 40% later.

A mixed day on Tal y Fan: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph during the evening (fresh and blowy). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from early morning into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. The ground is likely to be saturated after recent rain. Expect boggy paths and rapid runoff if more rain arrives. Some rain is likely, with up to around 2 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (forecast models agree on the walking impact of the wind) - the summit peak could reasonably be 15-27 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Medium confidence
Wind22 mph W Gusts31 mph Feels7°C Rain7.8 mm Cloud-free summit57% Cloud base714 m Freezing level2,223 m Daylight06:22–20:08 · 13.8 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: moderate

from early morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Spate watch

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

Cloud-free timing: Around 0% early, improving to around 100% later.

A mixed day on Tal y Fan: summit wind broadly 15-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph around midday (strong winds). A meaningful thunderstorm risk is indicated from early morning into the evening. Avoid committing to exposed ridges if storms begin to build. The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. There could be a spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Most likely from around 00:00 until around 23:00. Cloud base around 400–700 m in the morning, lifting to 700–1000 m around midday and 1100–1400 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view from around midday into the evening. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 5-10 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (forecast models agree on the walking impact of the wind) - the summit peak could reasonably be 16-28 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Forecast run: 2026-08-26

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