Gray Crag weather forecast.

699 m summit in Lake District. Seven-day wind, cloud, rain and temperature forecast, updated 27 August 2026 at 04:40 UTC.

At a glance

Today on Gray Crag.

Gray Crag on Thursday 27 August 2026: summit wind around 31 mph E, gusting 44 mph; modelled cloud-free summit for 86% of daylight; feels like 14°C; 3.0 mm rain.

Medium confidenceHow the forecast works

Seven-day Gray Crag forecast.

Conditions can change quickly with height. Use the day-by-day summit detail below, then check again close to departure.

Medium confidence
Wind31 mph E Gusts44 mph Feels14°C Rain3.0 mm Cloud-free summit86% Cloud base952 m Freezing level3,120 m Daylight06:08–20:16 · 14.1 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: low

from around midday into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Cloud-free timing: Around 100% early, falling to around 60% later.

A mixed day on Gray Crag: summit wind broadly 20-35 mph, with gusts 40-50 mph during the morning (gale-force winds). Thunderstorms are possible from around midday into the evening. Keep an escape route from exposed ridges and descend if thunder develops. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Any cloud sits well above the tops (base 700-1000 m) - clear summits. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain.

Medium confidence
Wind25 mph W Gusts35 mph Feels10°C Rain2.7 mm Cloud-free summit0% Cloud base430 m Freezing level2,810 m Daylight06:10–20:13 · 14.1 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: moderate

from early morning into the afternoon. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

A grey, cloudy day on Gray Crag: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 30-40 mph around midday (strong winds). A meaningful thunderstorm risk is indicated from early morning into the afternoon. Avoid committing to exposed ridges if storms begin to build. The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base mostly around 400–700 m through daylight. Expect the top to stay in cloud for most or all of daylight, with no dependable break. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (Summit wind could be roughly 18-31 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could reasonably be 18-31 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Medium confidence
Wind17 mph SW Gusts23 mph Feels8°C Rain3.6 mm Cloud-free summit0% Cloud base464 m Freezing level2,715 m Daylight06:12–20:11 · 14.0 h

Forecast confidence: A low thunderstorm risk remains difficult to time precisely.

Thunder risk: low

from early morning into the afternoon. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

A grey, cloudy day on Gray Crag: summit wind broadly 10-20 mph, with gusts 20-30 mph early in the morning (fresh and blowy). Thunderstorms are possible from early morning into the afternoon. Keep an escape route from exposed ridges and descend if thunder develops. The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. Cloud base mostly around 400–700 m through daylight. Expect the top to stay in cloud for most or all of daylight, with no dependable break. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on southwestern slopes; the northeastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain.

Medium confidence
Wind21 mph SW Gusts30 mph Feels9°C Rain4.8 mm Cloud-free summit36% Cloud base665 m Freezing level2,665 m Daylight06:14–20:09 · 13.9 h

Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.

Thunder risk: high

from early morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Spate watch

Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.

Cloud-free timing: Around 0% early, improving to around 60% later.

A grey, cloudy day on Gray Crag: summit wind broadly 15-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph around midday (fresh and blowy). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from early morning into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. There could be a spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Most likely from around 05:00 until around 03:00 the following day. Cloud base around 300–600 m in the morning, lifting to 600–900 m around midday and 900–1200 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view during the afternoon. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on southwestern slopes; the northeastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 2-5 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Confidence moderate (forecast models agree on the walking impact of the wind) - the summit peak could reasonably be 17-26 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Low confidence
Wind45 mph W Gusts63 mph Feels3°C Rain6.9 mm Cloud-free summit57% Cloud base889 m Freezing level1,814 m Daylight06:16–20:06 · 13.8 h

Forecast confidence: A low thunderstorm risk remains difficult to time precisely.

Thunder risk: low

from the morning into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.

Cloud-free timing: Around 0% early, improving to around 100% later.

A wild day on Gray Crag: summit wind broadly 35-50 mph, with gusts 60-70 mph during the afternoon (storm-force winds). Thunderstorms are possible from the morning into the evening. Keep an escape route from exposed ridges and descend if thunder develops. Much calmer lower down - generally 15-25 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 400–700 m in the morning, lifting to 800–1100 m around midday and 1300–1600 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view from around midday into the evening. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with around 5-10 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Low confidence (Summit wind could be roughly 34-56 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could be anywhere from 34 to 56 mph; check again nearer the time.

Medium confidence
Wind41 mph W Gusts57 mph Feels-0°C Rain1.8 mm Cloud-free summit50% Cloud base541 m Freezing level1,711 m Daylight06:18–20:04 · 13.8 h

Forecast confidence: Summit wind could be roughly 32-46 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel.

Cloud-free timing: Around 100% early, falling to around 0% later.

A wild day on Gray Crag: summit wind broadly 30-45 mph, with gusts 50-60 mph around midday (storm-force winds). The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. Much calmer lower down - generally 10-20 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Cloud base around 0–300 m in the morning, then around 700–1000 m around midday and 500–800 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view from early morning into around midday. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Some rain is likely, with up to around 2 mm indicated; timing and local totals remain uncertain. Cold on top: air temperature broadly 4 to 8°C, feeling around -2 to 2°C in the wind - wrap up. Confidence moderate (Summit wind could be roughly 32-46 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel) - the summit peak could reasonably be 32-46 mph, so treat the headline as mid-range.

Forecast run: 2026-08-27

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Brothersfield Cottage near Gray Crag Cottages.com

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Shambles Cottage near Gray Crag Cottages.com

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Mountain weather can differ sharply from conditions in the valley. Check official warnings, carry appropriate navigation and clothing, and be ready to change the plan. Read how Mountain Weather forecasts are produced and where their limits lie.