Forecast confidence: Thunderstorm timing is inherently uncertain and may shift by several hours.
from late afternoon into the evening. Leave exposed summits and ridges if thunder develops.
Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.
Cloud-free timing: Around 33% early, falling to around 0% later.
A rough, clagged-in day on Moel Siabod: summit wind broadly 15-40 mph, with gusts 40-50 mph around midday (gale-force winds). Thunderstorms are a significant hazard from late afternoon into the evening. Exposed summits and ridges are a poor choice while storms are nearby. High spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may become difficult or impassable. Most likely from around 08:00 until around 01:00 the following day. Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. A cloud layer may sit from about 400-700 m up to 700-1000 m. You may climb through it on the mid slopes, with a chance the summit stands clear above; this is not guaranteed. A persistently wet day is possible, with around 10-20 mm indicated; local totals could vary considerably.


